Sitemap - 2023 - David Stevenson's Adventurous Investor Newsletter

Poll and further reading: a final market temperature check for 23, free Investment Trusts eBook, Resurgent Cathie Woods and Barrons top ten stock tips for 24

Investment Ideas: deep discounts, new quality dividend ETF, and wines flight to quality

Monday Macro – The Powell pivot, S&P 500 at 6000 by the end 24 (!), disinflation emerges

Further reading: Gavekal on China, Treasury Bills and Biden is in trouble

Investment Ideas: US midcaps are cheap and the next big thing in Asia, Bangladesh

Monday Macro – the verdict on my 2023 predictions (!), central bank dates to watch out for in 24 and BlackRock opines

Further reading for the weekend: Geopolitics primer, Missing British Workers, the threat of Trump the Dictator and Ukrainian front line hell

Ideas: A deeper dive into Baker Steel Resources, more positive on gold and a useful Nvidia primer

Monday Macro – a stellar November in the equity markets and more 2024 forecasts

Further reading for the weekend: the Venture Capital drought and the Nuns fighting for Ukraine and the demographic shock arrives

Ideas: New core alternatives portfolio, Forward Partners and Molten Ventures combine, and extreme weather stocks

Monday Macro: Crystal ball time – the analysts reveal their 2024 predictions

Political earthquakes, evading tax, what Tudors spent their wages on, and 500 years of UK business cycles

Investment Ideas: Gilts redux, An African digital infrastructure play and your US Treasury Bond choices

Monday Macro: Asset allocations updated, US investors are still bullish but getting more cautious, watch Mrs Watanabe, and what’s hot in emerging markets

Further reading for the weekend: Buffett’s share trades, SMR reactors falter, and the digital infrastructure that connects us all

Investment Ideas – Georgia, Gilt ETFs and global equity ETF portfolios

Monday Macro – The S&P continues to outperform, my new asset allocation table, and pricing power stocks in a novel index

Further reading for the weekend: VC valuations troughing (?), Ukraine’s long war, and how the Irish got rich

Investment Ideas: Data centres pricing power, Reviewing Watch List performance, and a super-focused Indian tech ETF

Monday Macro – the UK in 18 charts

Further reading for the weekend : Golf courses, ETFs, not so dumb private investors and how not to secure a wall

Investment Ideas: a review of all buy ideas, plus yet more news on Digital 9

Monday Macro – Macro Tour of the US economy in 16 charts

Further reading for the weekend: The techno-optimists strike back, Qatar's double game and Taiwan's failure to asymmetric warfare

Investment Ideas – Left-field bond ideas, airlines and an income fund idea

Monday Macro – Rising Rates (again), Emerging markets and Peak Obesity Hype

Weekend reading: a brilliant geopolitical primer, our problems with state capacity, and why passive is massive

Investment Ideas : Covered call ETFs, Hipgnosis and Bond funds (again)

Monday Macro – the UK big picture

Further reading for the weekend : The rent control shibboleth, why financial repression will re-emerge and yet more China worries

Investment Ideas – A long shot bond idea plus a deep discount equities fund with an ESG angle

Monday Macro – Key signals to watch out for in 2024, and a dose of bearishness

Links for the weekend: those Nvidia chipsets, The CIA, Rent controls, and what’s gone wrong with Bidenomics

Investment Ideas: the definitive fintech index, events and what went wrong at D9

Monday Macro – Higher Longer, Lower Soon or Stop Start, thinking through investment scenarios

Links for the weekend – value investors event, declining birth rates, Freetrade, and BH Macro

Investment Ideas: Updates on nukes and GABI plus an alternative AI play to Nvidia

Monday Macro – Seven questions for the long term investor

Weekend reading: Iceland drone footage, the Disney Charter standoff, how to think about cash

Investment Ideas: money market plus, an equal weight global equities tracker and another exit for Literacy Capital

Monday Macro: earnings still growing, PE might have troughed, and fininfluencers on trial

Links for the weekend: AI, Taxes and China disinvestment (again)

Investment Ideas: smarter dividend tracking ETFs shine and UK housebuilders looking cheap again

Monday Macro - what to look out for in the next few quarters, Volatility and defaults inching up

Weekly note for Aug 28th: The Pointy heads got it wrong about the markets, lots on China plus the UKs (nuclear) infrastructure problem

Weekly note for Aug 21st: Short gilt yields near peak, Gravis funds merger, and energy efficiency bargain

Weekly Summer Note: Bonds, Uranium, Forward VC, and Bad News for attractive Short Men

Digital assets, Equinix, China, crime and cash rich corporates : ideas, macro snippets and links

Investment Ideas: BH Macro sags, real asset managers going cheap, and why LendInvest is cheap

Monday Macro – talk about variance of returns, the bulls case for US equities and why UK equities deserve their low rating

Further reading for the weekend: French riots, the origins of genius, a Chinese ASML or a balance sheet recession

Investment Ideas: A smorgasbord of broker ideas with a contrarian twist

Monday Macro – H1 2023 in rearview and thoughts on H2

Friday Links: the experts take on the war in Ukraine, explosive growth via AI, movie mayhem in July and US farmland looks strong

Monday Macro: reasons to be cheerful, tech disruption timescales and Vietnam

Friday Links: Endless moral decline (?), VC turmoil in Europe, Cannabis and schizophrenia, austerity and Russian nuclear stranglehold

Investment Ideas – Mid to small cap digital plays loved by elite managers and The Next Billion as an ETF portfolio

Monday Macro – warning signs

Further reading: Revenge spending and China, how to overcome the vetocracy, tracking the shorts and why nuclear is doomed long term

Investment Ideas: Molten Ventures looks good value, European value, and massive gains for Nvidia leveraged investors

Monday Macro – mid journey but where’s the destination? The R word

Further reading: Assisted dying, revolting Dutch farmers and the role of sugar in boosting national productivity

Monday Macro – it’s definitely choppy out there but the Vix is slumbering

Investment Ideas: All hail the chicken as the great innovation, Ackman buys into Google, and a brilliant tour de force analysis of our housing mess

Investment Ideas – a quick deep dive into Japanese equities

Monday Macro: Is it AI or liquidity pushing the markets forward, critical materials look becalmed, and equity investing in a period of high inflation

Further reading: China after Mao, Our aging skills base and curbing knife crime

Investment ideas – an AI Automation ten stock basket, buyback ETFs and Warner as the streaming winner

Monday Macro: Turkey, core 12 month view, commercial real estate holds up, what next for natural gas markets

Weekend reading: ETF growth slows, lab-grown fat, Druckenmiller interviewed, and ChatGPT’s bias

Coronation Weekend Macro and Investment Ideas: Do buybacks work for funds, Earnings continue to surprise to the upside, de-dollarisation doesn’t mean we won’t have a multipolar world, and Gold ETCs

Weekend links: AI tools, Tesla worth $7 trillion (?), the power of negative narratives, how to explain Trump and China acquires a new enemy

Bank holiday Double issue: Macro and Investment Ideas

Weekend Links: The political economy of QE, The Sixth Mass Extinction and Techs as a safe haven

Investment Ideas - The Industrials sector plus PE valuations

Monday Macro – Vote in my poll, more long term data shows skewed returns and Europe’s population problem

Links for the weekend: Radical Hindu feminists, Chinese refugees to the US, rubbish VCs and why dollar hegemony isn’t over yet

Investment ideas – quick fire notes

Macro Monday - The Big Picture drivers

Weekend Links: Sinn Fein the good guys (?!), Congo and anti capitalist greens, banning cousin marriages, and reading 10Ks

Investment Ideas – adding D9 to Alternative Funds Trading List

Easter weekend special – Macro AND Links: UK corporate op margins increase, money supply collapses, inflation back to 2%, how weight loss drugs could boost UK life expectancy and the REITs debate

Investment Ideas – Property and Private assets: sweet spots turn sour

Macro Monday – Its all a bit average, plus gold does help and the UK economy isn’t as bad as we all thought

Weekend further reading : Lab Grown Brains, spotting lies, popular surnames and what next in the Ukraine War

Investment Ideas: CoCos, a contrarian take, plus tech musings from the big San Fran conference

Monday Macro - Don't be too depressed

The ESG investing debate plus weekend reading on Morlocks, China, hitting Mexico hard, crime and war

Investment Ideas: Joachim Klement on investing basics, US gas stock, Plus500 and Literacy Capital

Macro Monday: Yep, its SVB time...plus why dynamic asset allocation does work

Weekend reading: Two podcasts on moderation, two books on Russia absolutely worth reading, lots on China and a bumper selection of factoids

Investment ideas : Greenwood exits MIGO, Alt Funds portfolio update plus how to buy into the chips sector

Monday Macro – Regime changes and 5%, plus the Chinese car giants are coming

Weekend Reading: Fintech, Rewilding, Tunisia, PE valuations

Investment Ideas – Zero’s, EVs, Georgia and Uranium

Monday Macro – Markets get queasy, but long term equities are stll delivering the returns

Weekend reading - why we need to talk about eugenics, the Ukrainian meat grinder, and bringing back the DoDo

Investment ideas: Vietnam, healthcare and Chrysalis

Monday Macro : A realist take on US equities, plus data globalisation and Japanese low wages

Weekend Reading: Digitally clone yourself, the UKs answer to DARPA, and the Covid schools scandal

Investment Ideas: some quick observations on VCs, chip stocks and funds likely to benefit from higher inflation

Monday Macro - The Bulls are back

Weekend reading - sports cars and manhood, hot dog salesmen causing trouble, killer fungi and Nigerian oil thieves

Investment Ideas: Shipping, Riverstone Credit, Poland, the Philippines, and Vietnam

Monday Macro - market update, global valuations, and growth stocks charge ahead

Weekend reading - Great English cities of the last thousand years, Russia’s military recruitment ads, and fatness and intelligence

Investment Ideas - Charlie Morris in Conversation, China funds and music royalties

Monday macro - the tech leviathans are still expensive, UK stocks close the gap, VC valuations start to adjust and China leads the way on electric cars

Weekend reading: ISAs under attack, carbon offsets don't work, Ruffer goes deeply bearish, the end of dollar hegemony and nepobabies

Investment Ideas: A greenflation basket, a 2023 alternatives portfolio, and Morgan Stanleys global transitions

Monday Macro: Beware those forward earnings numbers, the correlation snap and key questions for Asia answered

Friday Links: The Nokia risk for major corporates, who dunnit for Nord Stream, war with China, a materialist view of history and educating elites

Investment Ideas - Another energy infrastructure ETF, a ValueGurus portfolio from eToro and an update on Spotify and Google

Monday Macro - Various big picture predictions for the new year

New Year’s Predictions